Toronto in March
What to expect
In Toronto, March sits in early spring, a shoulder-season month where the feel can shift as the season turns. Most days feel cold but manageable, with evenings that ease back comfortably. Comfort is usually predictable, so a standard day plan works well. Daylight is moderate, so steady pacing works well.
March in context
How it compares to the rest of the year in Toronto.
Monthly climate breakdown
Temperature
- Daytime high
-
- Nighttime low
-
- Feels like (avg)
-
Sunshine
- Daylight hours
- 12 h
- UV index (max)
- 6
- Typical sun hours
- 06:26 - 18:24
Rain & Snow
- Total rain
-
- Rainy days
- 12 days
- Cloud cover (avg)
- 64%
- Snowfall
-
Humidity & Wind
- Humidity (avg)
- 69%
- Wind (avg)
-
- Wind (max gusts)
-
Daily climate explorer
Day 15 selected for March. Typical high 3.7°C and low -3.8°C.
Typical disruptions in March
Based on 30 years of historical data, these are the disruption patterns most likely to affect plans in March.
Cold feels-like nights Measures: Cold feels-like nights (min <=5C). Observed about 99% of days (30.8 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
30.8 days / month
~99% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 30.8 days / month
- Probability ~99% of days
- Intensity Up to ~-1°C (P95)
Cold feels-like nights are possible on ~31 days. Long outdoor blocks become harder to sustain, so layer up and keep a warm indoor fallback nearby.
Freezing nights Measures: Freezing nights (min <=0C). Observed about 80% of days (24.7 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
24.7 days / month
~80% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 24.7 days / month
- Probability ~80% of days
- Intensity Up to ~-0°C (P95)
Freezing nights are possible on ~25 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Hard freeze nights Measures: Hard freeze nights (min <=-2C). Observed about 63% of days (19.5 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
19.5 days / month
~63% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 19.5 days / month
- Probability ~63% of days
- Intensity Up to ~-2°C (P95)
Hard freeze conditions are possible on ~19 days. Long outdoor blocks become harder to sustain, so layer up and keep a warm indoor fallback nearby.
Snow days Measures: Snow days (>=0.1mm snowfall). Observed about 28% of days (8.8 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
8.8 days / month
~28% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 8.8 days / month
- Probability ~28% of days
- Intensity Up to ~8.3mm (P95)
Snowfall is possible on ~9 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Washout risk Measures: Washout day risk. Observed about 12% of days (3.7 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
3.7 days / month
~12% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 3.7 days / month
- Probability ~12% of days
- Intensity Up to ~21mm (P95)
Washout conditions are possible on ~4 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Strong gusts Measures: Strong gust days (>=60 km/h). Observed about 12% of days (3.6 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
3.6 days / month
~12% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 3.6 days / month
- Probability ~12% of days
- Intensity Up to ~84km/h (P95)
Strong gusts are possible on ~4 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Show all disruptions (21 more)
Stormy conditions Measures: Storm-impact proxy days. Observed about 3% of days (1.1 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.1 days / month
~3% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.1 days / month
- Probability ~3% of days
- Intensity Up to ~80km/h (P95)
Stormy conditions are possible on ~1 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Washout run Measures: Multi-day washout runs. Observed about 0.5 days/month in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
0.5 days / month
Probability unavailable
Why this matters
- Expected days 0.5 days / month
- Probability —
- Intensity Up to ~20mm (P95)
Multi-day washout runs are possible on ~0 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Severe gusts Measures: Severe gust days (>=80 km/h). Observed about 1% of days (0.3 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
0.3 days / month
~1% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 0.3 days / month
- Probability ~1% of days
- Intensity Up to ~95km/h (P95)
Severe gusts are possible on ~0 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Rain disruption Measures: Likely rain disruption days. Observed about 12% of days (3.8 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
3.8 days / month
~12% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 3.8 days / month
- Probability ~12% of days
- Intensity Up to ~21mm (P95)
Rain disruption risk appears on ~4 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Cold snap run Measures: Cold snap runs (>=3 cold days). Observed about 2.3 days/month in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
2.3 days / month
Probability unavailable
Why this matters
- Expected days 2.3 days / month
- Probability —
- Intensity Up to ~9°C (P95)
Cold snap runs are possible on ~2 days. Long outdoor blocks become harder to sustain, so layer up and keep a warm indoor fallback nearby.
Heavy rain days Measures: Heavy rain days (>=10mm). Observed about 6% of days (1.7 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.7 days / month
~6% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.7 days / month
- Probability ~6% of days
- Intensity Up to ~22mm (P95)
Heavy rain is possible on ~2 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Wind chill risk Measures: Wind chill risk days. Observed about 4% of days (1.4 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.4 days / month
~4% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.4 days / month
- Probability ~4% of days
- Intensity Up to ~-4°C (P95)
Wind chill risk is possible on ~1 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Fog-likely signal Measures: Fog-likely visibility proxy. Observed about 3% of days (1.0 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.0 days / month
~3% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.0 days / month
- Probability ~3% of days
- Intensity Up to ~98% (P95)
Fog-likely conditions are possible on ~1 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Cold nights Measures: Cold nights (min <=5C). Observed about 98% of days (30.2 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
30.2 days / month
~98% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 30.2 days / month
- Probability ~98% of days
- Intensity Up to ~3°C (P95)
Cold nights are possible on ~30 days. Long outdoor blocks become harder to sustain, so layer up and keep a warm indoor fallback nearby.
Cold days Measures: Cold days (max <=10C). Observed about 88% of days (27.2 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
27.2 days / month
~88% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 27.2 days / month
- Probability ~88% of days
- Intensity Up to ~9°C (P95)
Cold daytime conditions are possible on ~27 days. Long outdoor blocks become harder to sustain, so layer up and keep a warm indoor fallback nearby.
Cloudy days Measures: Cloudy days (cloud cover >=60%). Observed about 61% of days (18.8 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
18.8 days / month
~61% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 18.8 days / month
- Probability ~61% of days
- Intensity Up to ~100% (P95)
Cloudy skies are possible on ~19 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Gusty days Measures: Gusty days (>=40 km/h). Observed about 52% of days (16.0 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
16.0 days / month
~52% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 16.0 days / month
- Probability ~52% of days
- Intensity Up to ~74km/h (P95)
Gusty conditions are possible on ~16 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Wet days Measures: Wet days (>=0.1mm). Observed about 49% of days (15.1 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
15.1 days / month
~49% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 15.1 days / month
- Probability ~49% of days
- Intensity Up to ~15mm (P95)
Measurable rain is possible on ~15 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Mostly cloudy days Measures: Mostly cloudy days (cloud cover >=80%). Observed about 37% of days (11.5 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
11.5 days / month
~37% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 11.5 days / month
- Probability ~37% of days
- Intensity Up to ~100% (P95)
Mostly cloudy skies are possible on ~12 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Rainy hours Measures: Rain-hours signal (>=3h rain). Observed about 37% of days (11.4 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
11.4 days / month
~37% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 11.4 days / month
- Probability ~37% of days
- Intensity Up to ~18h (P95)
Several rainy hours are possible on ~11 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Wet most of day Measures: Wet-most-of-day signal (>=6h rain). Observed about 25% of days (7.8 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
7.8 days / month
~25% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 7.8 days / month
- Probability ~25% of days
- Intensity Up to ~21h (P95)
Wet-most-of-day conditions are possible on ~8 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
High humidity Measures: High humidity days (RH >=80%). Observed about 25% of days (7.8 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
7.8 days / month
~25% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 7.8 days / month
- Probability ~25% of days
- Intensity Up to ~95% (P95)
High humidity is possible on ~8 days. Comfort and pace can drop quickly, so plan shorter outdoor blocks with air-conditioned backup stops.
Overcast days Measures: Overcast days (cloud cover >=95%). Observed about 17% of days (5.3 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
5.3 days / month
~17% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 5.3 days / month
- Probability ~17% of days
- Intensity Up to ~100% (P95)
Overcast skies are possible on ~5 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Breezy days Measures: Breezy days (mean wind >=25 km/h). Observed about 4% of days (1.4 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.4 days / month
~4% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.4 days / month
- Probability ~4% of days
- Intensity Up to ~33km/h (P95)
Breezy conditions are possible on ~1 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Low visibility proxy: same as fog-likely (RH ≥90% AND cloud ≥95%) — true visibility requires hourly visibility data Measures: Low visibility proxy: same as fog-likely (RH ≥90% AND cloud ≥95%) — true visibility requires hourly visibility data. Observed about 3% of days (1.0 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.0 days / month
~3% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.0 days / month
- Probability ~3% of days
- Intensity Up to ~98 (P95)
Low visibility proxy: same as fog-likely (RH ≥90% AND cloud ≥95%) — true visibility requires hourly visibility data is possible on ~1 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Heavy snowfall (INACTIVE until snowfall_sum units confirmed; set threshold once units are verified) Measures: Heavy snowfall (INACTIVE until snowfall_sum units confirmed; set threshold once units are verified). Observed about 3% of days (0.9 days/month) in March. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
0.9 days / month
~3% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 0.9 days / month
- Probability ~3% of days
- Intensity Up to ~14 (P95)
Heavy snowfall (INACTIVE until snowfall_sum units confirmed; set threshold once units are verified) is possible on ~1 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Frequently asked questions
Is March a good time to visit Toronto?
Typical March days in Toronto reach highs of 4°C (39°F) with nights around -4°C (25°F). It usually feels chilly by day and very cold after dark. It is one of the drier months, which suits outdoor exploring and sightseeing.
What are temperatures like in March?
Daytime temperatures in March typically peak near 4°C (39°F), while nights drop to around -4°C (25°F). Expect chilly afternoons and very cold evenings.
How much does it rain in March?
Rainfall in March averages 58 mm (2.3 in) across roughly 12 days. Overall it is a quite rainy time of year, so a light rain jacket and waterproof shoes are very handy.
How many hours of daylight are there in March?
You can expect about 12 hours of daylight in March. Sunrise is typically around 06:26 and sunset near 18:24. Daylight is fairly typical, with enough time for sightseeing.
How strong is the sun in March?
UV levels are moderate (around 6); sunscreen and sunglasses are still a good idea.
Is it windy in March?
In March, average wind speeds are around 15 km/h (9 mph), with gusts on the windiest days reaching about 62 km/h (39 mph). On the ground, it is it is a notably windy place, and strong gusts are fairly common.