Bali in October
What to expect
In Bali, October sits in mid-spring, a shoulder-season month where the feel can shift as the season turns. Daytime heat stands out once the sun is up, with evenings that ease back comfortably. Comfort is usually predictable, so a standard day plan works well. Daylight is moderate, so steady pacing works well.
October in context
How it compares to the rest of the year in Bali.
Monthly climate breakdown
Temperature
- Daytime high
-
- Nighttime low
-
- Feels like (avg)
-
Sunshine
- Daylight hours
- 12.3 h
- UV index (max)
- 10
- Typical sun hours
- 05:57 - 18:14
Rain & Snow
- Total rain
-
- Rainy days
- 20 days
- Cloud cover (avg)
- 67%
Humidity & Wind
- Humidity (avg)
- 81%
- Wind (avg)
-
- Wind (max gusts)
-
Daily climate explorer
Day 15 selected for October. Typical high 28.4°C and low 20.9°C.
Typical disruptions in October
Based on 30 years of historical data, these are the disruption patterns most likely to affect plans in October.
Hot feels-like days Measures: Hot feels-like days (>=32C). Observed about 84% of days (26.1 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
26.1 days / month
~84% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 26.1 days / month
- Probability ~84% of days
- Intensity Up to ~36°C (P95)
Feels-like heat >=32C is possible on ~26 days. Midday activity often needs adjustment around shade, hydration, and indoor fallback options.
Muggy days Measures: Muggy days (dew point >=20C). Observed about 53% of days (16.5 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
16.5 days / month
~53% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 16.5 days / month
- Probability ~53% of days
- Intensity Up to ~22°C (P95)
Muggy conditions are possible on ~17 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Very hot feels-like Measures: Very hot feels-like days (>=35C). Observed about 32% of days (9.9 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
9.9 days / month
~32% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 9.9 days / month
- Probability ~32% of days
- Intensity Up to ~37°C (P95)
Very hot feels-like conditions are possible on ~10 days. Midday activity often needs adjustment around shade, hydration, and indoor fallback options.
Heat stress risk Measures: High heat stress days. Observed about 30% of days (9.2 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
9.2 days / month
~30% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 9.2 days / month
- Probability ~30% of days
- Intensity Up to ~37°C (P95)
Heat stress is possible on ~9 days. Midday activity often needs adjustment around shade, hydration, and indoor fallback options.
Hot days Measures: Hot days (>=30C). Observed about 27% of days (8.3 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
8.3 days / month
~27% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 8.3 days / month
- Probability ~27% of days
- Intensity Up to ~32°C (P95)
Hot days are possible on ~8 days. Midday activity often needs adjustment around shade, hydration, and indoor fallback options.
Rain disruption Measures: Likely rain disruption days. Observed about 26% of days (8.2 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
8.2 days / month
~26% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 8.2 days / month
- Probability ~26% of days
- Intensity Up to ~34mm (P95)
Rain disruption risk appears on ~8 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Show all disruptions (19 more)
Washout risk Measures: Washout day risk. Observed about 25% of days (7.8 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
7.8 days / month
~25% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 7.8 days / month
- Probability ~25% of days
- Intensity Up to ~35mm (P95)
Washout conditions are possible on ~8 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Heavy rain days Measures: Heavy rain days (>=10mm). Observed about 17% of days (5.4 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
5.4 days / month
~17% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 5.4 days / month
- Probability ~17% of days
- Intensity Up to ~37mm (P95)
Heavy rain is possible on ~5 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Very heavy rain Measures: Very heavy rain days (>=25mm). Observed about 5% of days (1.6 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.6 days / month
~5% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.6 days / month
- Probability ~5% of days
- Intensity Up to ~45mm (P95)
Very heavy rain is possible on ~2 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Washout run Measures: Multi-day washout runs. Observed about 1.6 days/month in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.6 days / month
Probability unavailable
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.6 days / month
- Probability —
- Intensity Up to ~35mm (P95)
Multi-day washout runs are possible on ~2 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Fog-likely signal Measures: Fog-likely visibility proxy. Observed about 9% of days (2.6 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
2.6 days / month
~9% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 2.6 days / month
- Probability ~9% of days
- Intensity Up to ~97% (P95)
Fog-likely conditions are possible on ~3 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Feels-like heatwave Measures: Feels-like heatwave runs (>=3 days). Observed about 1.6 days/month in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.6 days / month
Probability unavailable
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.6 days / month
- Probability —
- Intensity Up to ~36°C (P95)
Feels-like heatwave runs are possible on ~2 days. Midday activity often needs adjustment around shade, hydration, and indoor fallback options.
Humid days Measures: Humid days (dew point >=18C). Observed about 91% of days (28.2 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
28.2 days / month
~91% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 28.2 days / month
- Probability ~91% of days
- Intensity Up to ~22°C (P95)
Humid conditions are possible on ~28 days. Comfort and pace can drop quickly, so plan shorter outdoor blocks with air-conditioned backup stops.
Wet days Measures: Wet days (>=0.1mm). Observed about 76% of days (23.5 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
23.5 days / month
~76% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 23.5 days / month
- Probability ~76% of days
- Intensity Up to ~27mm (P95)
Measurable rain is possible on ~24 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Cloudy days Measures: Cloudy days (cloud cover >=60%). Observed about 65% of days (20.2 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
20.2 days / month
~65% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 20.2 days / month
- Probability ~65% of days
- Intensity Up to ~99% (P95)
Cloudy skies are possible on ~20 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Rainy hours Measures: Rain-hours signal (>=3h rain). Observed about 63% of days (19.5 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
19.5 days / month
~63% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 19.5 days / month
- Probability ~63% of days
- Intensity Up to ~16h (P95)
Several rainy hours are possible on ~19 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
High humidity Measures: High humidity days (RH >=80%). Observed about 55% of days (17.0 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
17.0 days / month
~55% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 17.0 days / month
- Probability ~55% of days
- Intensity Up to ~95% (P95)
High humidity is possible on ~17 days. Comfort and pace can drop quickly, so plan shorter outdoor blocks with air-conditioned backup stops.
Wet most of day Measures: Wet-most-of-day signal (>=6h rain). Observed about 47% of days (14.7 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
14.7 days / month
~47% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 14.7 days / month
- Probability ~47% of days
- Intensity Up to ~18h (P95)
Wet-most-of-day conditions are possible on ~15 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Mostly cloudy days Measures: Mostly cloudy days (cloud cover >=80%). Observed about 37% of days (11.4 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
11.4 days / month
~37% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 11.4 days / month
- Probability ~37% of days
- Intensity Up to ~100% (P95)
Mostly cloudy skies are possible on ~11 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Convective risk Measures: Convective storm risk proxy. Observed about 26% of days (8.2 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
8.2 days / month
~26% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 8.2 days / month
- Probability ~26% of days
- Intensity Up to ~22°C (P95)
Convective risk signal appears on ~8 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Warm nights Measures: Warm nights (min >=22C). Observed about 14% of days (4.5 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
4.5 days / month
~14% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 4.5 days / month
- Probability ~14% of days
- Intensity Up to ~23°C (P95)
Warm nights are possible on ~4 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Overcast days Measures: Overcast days (cloud cover >=95%). Observed about 13% of days (3.9 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
3.9 days / month
~13% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 3.9 days / month
- Probability ~13% of days
- Intensity Up to ~100% (P95)
Overcast skies are possible on ~4 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Low visibility proxy: same as fog-likely (RH ≥90% AND cloud ≥95%) — true visibility requires hourly visibility data Measures: Low visibility proxy: same as fog-likely (RH ≥90% AND cloud ≥95%) — true visibility requires hourly visibility data. Observed about 9% of days (2.6 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
2.6 days / month
~9% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 2.6 days / month
- Probability ~9% of days
- Intensity Up to ~97 (P95)
Low visibility proxy: same as fog-likely (RH ≥90% AND cloud ≥95%) — true visibility requires hourly visibility data is possible on ~3 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Gusty days Measures: Gusty days (>=40 km/h). Observed about 3% of days (1.0 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.0 days / month
~3% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.0 days / month
- Probability ~3% of days
- Intensity Up to ~45km/h (P95)
Gusty conditions are possible on ~1 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Heatwave run Measures: Heatwave runs (>=3 hot days). Observed about 0.8 days/month in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
0.8 days / month
Probability unavailable
Why this matters
- Expected days 0.8 days / month
- Probability —
- Intensity Up to ~32°C (P95)
Heatwave runs are possible on ~1 days. Midday activity often needs adjustment around shade, hydration, and indoor fallback options.
Frequently asked questions
Is October a good time to visit Bali?
Typical October days in Bali reach highs of 29°C (84°F) with nights around 21°C (70°F). It usually feels hot by day and mild after dark. Overall, October sits in the middle of the Bali climate range.
What are temperatures like in October?
In October, you can usually expect highs of 29°C (84°F) and lows near 21°C (70°F). That means hot days and mild nights, so pack layers you can add or remove.
How much does it rain in October?
Rainfall in October averages 169 mm (6.7 in) across roughly 20 days. Overall it is a very wet time of year, so a light rain jacket and waterproof shoes are very handy.
How many hours of daylight are there in October?
You can expect about 12 hours of daylight in October. Sunrise is typically around 05:57 and sunset near 18:14. Daylight is fairly typical, with enough time for sightseeing.
How strong is the sun in October?
UV levels frequently reach very high levels (around 10), so strong sun protection is essential, especially around midday.
Is it windy in October?
In October, average wind speeds are around 6 km/h (4 mph), with gusts on the windiest days reaching about 37 km/h (23 mph). On the ground, it is a gentle to moderate breeze is common, but stronger winds are not frequent.