Mexico City in July
What to expect
In Mexico City, July sits in mid-summer, with a clear seasonal rhythm running through the month. Most days land in a mild, easygoing zone, with evenings that ease back comfortably. Comfort is usually predictable, so a standard day plan works well. You get long daylight windows for full-day exploring.
July in context
How it compares to the rest of the year in Mexico City.
Monthly climate breakdown
Temperature
- Daytime high
-
- Nighttime low
-
- Feels like (avg)
-
Sunshine
- Daylight hours
- 13.2 h
- UV index (max)
- 10
- Typical sun hours
- 06:06 - 19:16
Rain & Snow
- Total rain
-
- Rainy days
- 27 days
- Cloud cover (avg)
- 76%
Humidity & Wind
- Humidity (avg)
- 77%
- Wind (avg)
-
- Wind (max gusts)
-
Daily climate explorer
Day 15 selected for July. Typical high 21.6°C and low 12.2°C.
Typical disruptions in July
Based on 30 years of historical data, these are the disruption patterns most likely to affect plans in July.
Rain disruption Measures: Likely rain disruption days. Observed about 41% of days (12.7 days/month) in July. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
12.7 days / month
~41% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 12.7 days / month
- Probability ~41% of days
- Intensity Up to ~22mm (P95)
Rain disruption risk appears on ~13 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Washout risk Measures: Washout day risk. Observed about 39% of days (12.1 days/month) in July. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
12.1 days / month
~39% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 12.1 days / month
- Probability ~39% of days
- Intensity Up to ~23mm (P95)
Washout conditions are possible on ~12 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Heavy rain days Measures: Heavy rain days (>=10mm). Observed about 21% of days (6.5 days/month) in July. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
6.5 days / month
~21% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 6.5 days / month
- Probability ~21% of days
- Intensity Up to ~27mm (P95)
Heavy rain is possible on ~7 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Show all disruptions (12 more)
Washout run Measures: Multi-day washout runs. Observed about 2.6 days/month in July. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
2.6 days / month
Probability unavailable
Why this matters
- Expected days 2.6 days / month
- Probability —
- Intensity Up to ~24mm (P95)
Multi-day washout runs are possible on ~3 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Very heavy rain Measures: Very heavy rain days (>=25mm). Observed about 2% of days (0.5 days/month) in July. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
0.5 days / month
~2% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 0.5 days / month
- Probability ~2% of days
- Intensity Up to ~35mm (P95)
Very heavy rain is possible on ~0 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Wet days Measures: Wet days (>=0.1mm). Observed about 93% of days (28.9 days/month) in July. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
28.9 days / month
~93% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 28.9 days / month
- Probability ~93% of days
- Intensity Up to ~18mm (P95)
Measurable rain is possible on ~29 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Rainy hours Measures: Rain-hours signal (>=3h rain). Observed about 84% of days (26.0 days/month) in July. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
26.0 days / month
~84% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 26.0 days / month
- Probability ~84% of days
- Intensity Up to ~19h (P95)
Several rainy hours are possible on ~26 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Cloudy days Measures: Cloudy days (cloud cover >=60%). Observed about 79% of days (24.4 days/month) in July. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
24.4 days / month
~79% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 24.4 days / month
- Probability ~79% of days
- Intensity Up to ~100% (P95)
Cloudy skies are possible on ~24 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Wet most of day Measures: Wet-most-of-day signal (>=6h rain). Observed about 63% of days (19.6 days/month) in July. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
19.6 days / month
~63% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 19.6 days / month
- Probability ~63% of days
- Intensity Up to ~20h (P95)
Wet-most-of-day conditions are possible on ~20 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Mostly cloudy days Measures: Mostly cloudy days (cloud cover >=80%). Observed about 51% of days (15.7 days/month) in July. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
15.7 days / month
~51% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 15.7 days / month
- Probability ~51% of days
- Intensity Up to ~100% (P95)
Mostly cloudy skies are possible on ~16 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
High humidity Measures: High humidity days (RH >=80%). Observed about 37% of days (11.6 days/month) in July. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
11.6 days / month
~37% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 11.6 days / month
- Probability ~37% of days
- Intensity Up to ~88% (P95)
High humidity is possible on ~12 days. Comfort and pace can drop quickly, so plan shorter outdoor blocks with air-conditioned backup stops.
Overcast days Measures: Overcast days (cloud cover >=95%). Observed about 18% of days (5.5 days/month) in July. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
5.5 days / month
~18% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 5.5 days / month
- Probability ~18% of days
- Intensity Up to ~100% (P95)
Overcast skies are possible on ~6 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Gusty days Measures: Gusty days (>=40 km/h). Observed about 8% of days (2.5 days/month) in July. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
2.5 days / month
~8% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 2.5 days / month
- Probability ~8% of days
- Intensity Up to ~48km/h (P95)
Gusty conditions are possible on ~3 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Fog-likely signal Measures: Fog-likely visibility proxy. Observed about 1% of days (0.2 days/month) in July. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
0.2 days / month
~1% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 0.2 days / month
- Probability ~1% of days
- Intensity Up to ~92% (P95)
Fog-likely conditions are possible on ~0 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Low visibility proxy: same as fog-likely (RH ≥90% AND cloud ≥95%) — true visibility requires hourly visibility data Measures: Low visibility proxy: same as fog-likely (RH ≥90% AND cloud ≥95%) — true visibility requires hourly visibility data. Observed about 1% of days (0.2 days/month) in July. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
0.2 days / month
~1% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 0.2 days / month
- Probability ~1% of days
- Intensity Up to ~92 (P95)
Low visibility proxy: same as fog-likely (RH ≥90% AND cloud ≥95%) — true visibility requires hourly visibility data is possible on ~0 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Frequently asked questions
Is July a good time to visit Mexico City?
Typical July days in Mexico City reach highs of 22°C (72°F) with nights around 12°C (54°F). It usually feels mild by day and cool after dark. It is among the wetter months, so it is wise to have some indoor backup plans or flexible activities.
What are temperatures like in July?
In July, you can usually expect highs of 22°C (72°F) and lows near 12°C (54°F). That means mild days and cool nights, so pack layers you can add or remove.
How much does it rain in July?
Rainfall in July averages 176 mm (6.9 in) across roughly 27 days. Overall it is a very wet time of year, so a light rain jacket and waterproof shoes are very handy.
How many hours of daylight are there in July?
You can expect about 13 hours of daylight in July. Sunrise is typically around 06:06 and sunset near 19:16. You get long days with comfortable amounts of daylight.
How strong is the sun in July?
UV levels frequently reach very high levels (around 10), so strong sun protection is essential, especially around midday.
Is it windy in July?
In July, average wind speeds are around 6 km/h (4 mph), with gusts on the windiest days reaching about 39 km/h (24 mph). On the ground, it is a gentle to moderate breeze is common, but stronger winds are not frequent.