Manchester in February
What to expect
Manchester is in late winter during February, with the season well established by this point. It stays cold overall, with a fairly even feel across the day. Conditions tend to feel steady, which makes planning simple. Shorter daylight windows make plan sequencing more important.
February in context
How it compares to the rest of the year in Manchester.
Monthly climate breakdown
Temperature
- Daytime high
-
- Nighttime low
-
- Feels like (avg)
-
Sunshine
- Daylight hours
- 9.8 h
- UV index (max)
- 3
- Typical sun hours
- 07:27 - 17:16
Rain & Snow
- Total rain
-
- Rainy days
- 16 days
- Cloud cover (avg)
- 75%
- Snowfall
-
Humidity & Wind
- Humidity (avg)
- 84%
- Wind (avg)
-
- Wind (max gusts)
-
Daily climate explorer
Day 15 selected for February. Typical high 7.7°C and low 1.9°C.
Typical disruptions in February
Based on 30 years of historical data, these are the disruption patterns most likely to affect plans in February.
Cold feels-like nights Measures: Cold feels-like nights (min <=5C). Observed about 98% of days (27.6 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
27.6 days / month
~98% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 27.6 days / month
- Probability ~98% of days
- Intensity Up to ~3°C (P95)
Cold feels-like nights are possible on ~28 days. Long outdoor blocks become harder to sustain, so layer up and keep a warm indoor fallback nearby.
Freezing nights Measures: Freezing nights (min <=0C). Observed about 32% of days (9.0 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
9.0 days / month
~32% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 9.0 days / month
- Probability ~32% of days
- Intensity Up to ~-0°C (P95)
Freezing nights are possible on ~9 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Strong gusts Measures: Strong gust days (>=60 km/h). Observed about 24% of days (6.8 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
6.8 days / month
~24% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 6.8 days / month
- Probability ~24% of days
- Intensity Up to ~94km/h (P95)
Strong gusts are possible on ~7 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Rain disruption Measures: Likely rain disruption days. Observed about 23% of days (6.4 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
6.4 days / month
~23% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 6.4 days / month
- Probability ~23% of days
- Intensity Up to ~17mm (P95)
Rain disruption risk appears on ~6 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Washout risk Measures: Washout day risk. Observed about 23% of days (6.4 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
6.4 days / month
~23% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 6.4 days / month
- Probability ~23% of days
- Intensity Up to ~17mm (P95)
Washout conditions are possible on ~6 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Hard freeze nights Measures: Hard freeze nights (min <=-2C). Observed about 18% of days (5.0 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
5.0 days / month
~18% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 5.0 days / month
- Probability ~18% of days
- Intensity Up to ~-2°C (P95)
Hard freeze conditions are possible on ~5 days. Long outdoor blocks become harder to sustain, so layer up and keep a warm indoor fallback nearby.
Show all disruptions (22 more)
Stormy conditions Measures: Storm-impact proxy days. Observed about 7% of days (2.0 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
2.0 days / month
~7% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 2.0 days / month
- Probability ~7% of days
- Intensity Up to ~101km/h (P95)
Stormy conditions are possible on ~2 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Severe gusts Measures: Severe gust days (>=80 km/h). Observed about 7% of days (1.8 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.8 days / month
~7% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.8 days / month
- Probability ~7% of days
- Intensity Up to ~105km/h (P95)
Severe gusts are possible on ~2 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Washout run Measures: Multi-day washout runs. Observed about 1.5 days/month in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.5 days / month
Probability unavailable
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.5 days / month
- Probability —
- Intensity Up to ~21mm (P95)
Multi-day washout runs are possible on ~1 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Snow days Measures: Snow days (>=0.1mm snowfall). Observed about 14% of days (4.1 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
4.1 days / month
~14% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 4.1 days / month
- Probability ~14% of days
- Intensity Up to ~4.3mm (P95)
Snowfall is possible on ~4 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Wind chill risk Measures: Wind chill risk days. Observed about 11% of days (3.1 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
3.1 days / month
~11% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 3.1 days / month
- Probability ~11% of days
- Intensity Up to ~-0°C (P95)
Wind chill risk is possible on ~3 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Fog-likely signal Measures: Fog-likely visibility proxy. Observed about 11% of days (3.0 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
3.0 days / month
~11% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 3.0 days / month
- Probability ~11% of days
- Intensity Up to ~97% (P95)
Fog-likely conditions are possible on ~3 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Heavy rain days Measures: Heavy rain days (>=10mm). Observed about 8% of days (2.3 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
2.3 days / month
~8% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 2.3 days / month
- Probability ~8% of days
- Intensity Up to ~25mm (P95)
Heavy rain is possible on ~2 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Cold snap run Measures: Cold snap runs (>=3 cold days). Observed about 2.1 days/month in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
2.1 days / month
Probability unavailable
Why this matters
- Expected days 2.1 days / month
- Probability —
- Intensity Up to ~10°C (P95)
Cold snap runs are possible on ~2 days. Long outdoor blocks become harder to sustain, so layer up and keep a warm indoor fallback nearby.
Cold nights Measures: Cold nights (min <=5C). Observed about 81% of days (22.8 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
22.8 days / month
~81% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 22.8 days / month
- Probability ~81% of days
- Intensity Up to ~5°C (P95)
Cold nights are possible on ~23 days. Long outdoor blocks become harder to sustain, so layer up and keep a warm indoor fallback nearby.
Cold days Measures: Cold days (max <=10C). Observed about 80% of days (22.5 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
22.5 days / month
~80% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 22.5 days / month
- Probability ~80% of days
- Intensity Up to ~10°C (P95)
Cold daytime conditions are possible on ~22 days. Long outdoor blocks become harder to sustain, so layer up and keep a warm indoor fallback nearby.
High humidity Measures: High humidity days (RH >=80%). Observed about 78% of days (22.1 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
22.1 days / month
~78% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 22.1 days / month
- Probability ~78% of days
- Intensity Up to ~94% (P95)
High humidity is possible on ~22 days. Comfort and pace can drop quickly, so plan shorter outdoor blocks with air-conditioned backup stops.
Cloudy days Measures: Cloudy days (cloud cover >=60%). Observed about 77% of days (21.8 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
21.8 days / month
~77% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 21.8 days / month
- Probability ~77% of days
- Intensity Up to ~100% (P95)
Cloudy skies are possible on ~22 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Wet days Measures: Wet days (>=0.1mm). Observed about 66% of days (18.5 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
18.5 days / month
~66% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 18.5 days / month
- Probability ~66% of days
- Intensity Up to ~14mm (P95)
Measurable rain is possible on ~19 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Gusty days Measures: Gusty days (>=40 km/h). Observed about 63% of days (17.8 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
17.8 days / month
~63% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 17.8 days / month
- Probability ~63% of days
- Intensity Up to ~88km/h (P95)
Gusty conditions are possible on ~18 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Rainy hours Measures: Rain-hours signal (>=3h rain). Observed about 56% of days (15.9 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
15.9 days / month
~56% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 15.9 days / month
- Probability ~56% of days
- Intensity Up to ~20h (P95)
Several rainy hours are possible on ~16 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Mostly cloudy days Measures: Mostly cloudy days (cloud cover >=80%). Observed about 52% of days (14.6 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
14.6 days / month
~52% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 14.6 days / month
- Probability ~52% of days
- Intensity Up to ~100% (P95)
Mostly cloudy skies are possible on ~15 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Wet most of day Measures: Wet-most-of-day signal (>=6h rain). Observed about 46% of days (12.9 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
12.9 days / month
~46% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 12.9 days / month
- Probability ~46% of days
- Intensity Up to ~21h (P95)
Wet-most-of-day conditions are possible on ~13 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Overcast days Measures: Overcast days (cloud cover >=95%). Observed about 23% of days (6.5 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
6.5 days / month
~23% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 6.5 days / month
- Probability ~23% of days
- Intensity Up to ~100% (P95)
Overcast skies are possible on ~7 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Breezy days Measures: Breezy days (mean wind >=25 km/h). Observed about 15% of days (4.1 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
4.1 days / month
~15% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 4.1 days / month
- Probability ~15% of days
- Intensity Up to ~34km/h (P95)
Breezy conditions are possible on ~4 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Low visibility proxy: same as fog-likely (RH ≥90% AND cloud ≥95%) — true visibility requires hourly visibility data Measures: Low visibility proxy: same as fog-likely (RH ≥90% AND cloud ≥95%) — true visibility requires hourly visibility data. Observed about 11% of days (3.0 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
3.0 days / month
~11% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 3.0 days / month
- Probability ~11% of days
- Intensity Up to ~97 (P95)
Low visibility proxy: same as fog-likely (RH ≥90% AND cloud ≥95%) — true visibility requires hourly visibility data is possible on ~3 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Short daylight Measures: Short daylight days (<=9h). Observed about 5% of days (1.4 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.4 days / month
~5% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.4 days / month
- Probability ~5% of days
- Intensity Up to ~9.0h (P95)
Short daylight windows are possible on ~1 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Heavy snowfall (INACTIVE until snowfall_sum units confirmed; set threshold once units are verified) Measures: Heavy snowfall (INACTIVE until snowfall_sum units confirmed; set threshold once units are verified). Observed about 1% of days (0.2 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
0.2 days / month
~1% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 0.2 days / month
- Probability ~1% of days
- Intensity Up to ~8 (P95)
Heavy snowfall (INACTIVE until snowfall_sum units confirmed; set threshold once units are verified) is possible on ~0 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Frequently asked questions
Is February a good time to visit Manchester?
Typical February days in Manchester reach highs of 7°C (45°F) with nights around 2°C (36°F). It usually feels chilly by day and very cold after dark. Overall, February sits in the middle of the Manchester climate range.
What are temperatures like in February?
Daytime temperatures in February typically peak near 7°C (45°F), while nights drop to around 2°C (36°F). Expect chilly afternoons and very cold evenings.
How much does it rain in February?
Rainfall in February averages 84 mm (3.3 in) across roughly 16 days. Overall it is a very wet time of year, so a light rain jacket and waterproof shoes are very handy.
How many hours of daylight are there in February?
You can expect about 10 hours of daylight in February. Sunrise is typically around 07:27 and sunset near 17:16. Days are on the shorter side, so plan activities around limited daylight.
How strong is the sun in February?
UV levels are usually low (around 3), so standard sun protection is enough.
Is it windy in February?
In February, average wind speeds are around 17 km/h (11 mph), with gusts on the windiest days reaching about 73 km/h (45 mph). On the ground, it is it is a notably windy place, and strong gusts are fairly common.