Cancún in February
What to expect
In Cancún, February sits in late winter, with a clear seasonal rhythm running through the month. Most days feel warm without being relentless, and relatively steady temperatures through the day. Daylight is moderate, so steady pacing works well. Comfort is usually predictable, so a standard day plan works well.
February in context
How it compares to the rest of the year in Cancún.
Monthly climate breakdown
Temperature
- Daytime high
-
- Nighttime low
-
- Feels like (avg)
-
Sunshine
- Daylight hours
- 11.5 h
- UV index (max)
- 8
- Typical sun hours
- 07:17 - 18:44
Rain & Snow
- Total rain
-
- Rainy days
- 12 days
- Cloud cover (avg)
- 38%
Humidity & Wind
- Humidity (avg)
- 73%
- Wind (avg)
-
- Wind (max gusts)
-
Daily climate explorer
Day 15 selected for February. Typical high 26.6°C and low 23.5°C.
Typical disruptions in February
Based on 30 years of historical data, these are the disruption patterns most likely to affect plans in February.
Muggy days Measures: Muggy days (dew point >=20C). Observed about 54% of days (15.2 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
15.2 days / month
~54% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 15.2 days / month
- Probability ~54% of days
- Intensity Up to ~22°C (P95)
Muggy conditions are possible on ~15 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Washout risk Measures: Washout day risk. Observed about 6% of days (1.7 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.7 days / month
~6% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.7 days / month
- Probability ~6% of days
- Intensity Up to ~26mm (P95)
Washout conditions are possible on ~2 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Strong gusts Measures: Strong gust days (>=60 km/h). Observed about 2% of days (0.5 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
0.5 days / month
~2% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 0.5 days / month
- Probability ~2% of days
- Intensity Up to ~76km/h (P95)
Strong gusts are possible on ~1 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Rain disruption Measures: Likely rain disruption days. Observed about 6% of days (1.8 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.8 days / month
~6% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.8 days / month
- Probability ~6% of days
- Intensity Up to ~26mm (P95)
Rain disruption risk appears on ~2 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Hot feels-like days Measures: Hot feels-like days (>=32C). Observed about 5% of days (1.5 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.5 days / month
~5% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.5 days / month
- Probability ~5% of days
- Intensity Up to ~34°C (P95)
Feels-like heat >=32C is possible on ~1 days. Midday activity often needs adjustment around shade, hydration, and indoor fallback options.
Show all disruptions (16 more)
Washout run Measures: Multi-day washout runs. Observed about 0.4 days/month in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
0.4 days / month
Probability unavailable
Why this matters
- Expected days 0.4 days / month
- Probability —
- Intensity Up to ~25mm (P95)
Multi-day washout runs are possible on ~0 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Stormy conditions Measures: Storm-impact proxy days. Observed about 1% of days (0.2 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
0.2 days / month
~1% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 0.2 days / month
- Probability ~1% of days
- Intensity Up to ~69km/h (P95)
Stormy conditions are possible on ~0 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Heavy rain days Measures: Heavy rain days (>=10mm). Observed about 3% of days (1.0 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.0 days / month
~3% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.0 days / month
- Probability ~3% of days
- Intensity Up to ~28mm (P95)
Heavy rain is possible on ~1 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Humid days Measures: Humid days (dew point >=18C). Observed about 69% of days (19.5 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
19.5 days / month
~69% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 19.5 days / month
- Probability ~69% of days
- Intensity Up to ~22°C (P95)
Humid conditions are possible on ~20 days. Comfort and pace can drop quickly, so plan shorter outdoor blocks with air-conditioned backup stops.
Warm nights Measures: Warm nights (min >=22C). Observed about 68% of days (19.3 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
19.3 days / month
~68% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 19.3 days / month
- Probability ~68% of days
- Intensity Up to ~25°C (P95)
Warm nights are possible on ~19 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Wet days Measures: Wet days (>=0.1mm). Observed about 54% of days (15.4 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
15.4 days / month
~54% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 15.4 days / month
- Probability ~54% of days
- Intensity Up to ~11mm (P95)
Measurable rain is possible on ~15 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Gusty days Measures: Gusty days (>=40 km/h). Observed about 45% of days (12.6 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
12.6 days / month
~45% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 12.6 days / month
- Probability ~45% of days
- Intensity Up to ~59km/h (P95)
Gusty conditions are possible on ~13 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Rainy hours Measures: Rain-hours signal (>=3h rain). Observed about 41% of days (11.7 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
11.7 days / month
~41% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 11.7 days / month
- Probability ~41% of days
- Intensity Up to ~18h (P95)
Several rainy hours are possible on ~12 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Wet most of day Measures: Wet-most-of-day signal (>=6h rain). Observed about 26% of days (7.3 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
7.3 days / month
~26% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 7.3 days / month
- Probability ~26% of days
- Intensity Up to ~19h (P95)
Wet-most-of-day conditions are possible on ~7 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
High humidity Measures: High humidity days (RH >=80%). Observed about 25% of days (7.1 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
7.1 days / month
~25% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 7.1 days / month
- Probability ~25% of days
- Intensity Up to ~89% (P95)
High humidity is possible on ~7 days. Comfort and pace can drop quickly, so plan shorter outdoor blocks with air-conditioned backup stops.
Cloudy days Measures: Cloudy days (cloud cover >=60%). Observed about 18% of days (5.0 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
5.0 days / month
~18% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 5.0 days / month
- Probability ~18% of days
- Intensity Up to ~96% (P95)
Cloudy skies are possible on ~5 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Mostly cloudy days Measures: Mostly cloudy days (cloud cover >=80%). Observed about 7% of days (1.8 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.8 days / month
~7% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.8 days / month
- Probability ~7% of days
- Intensity Up to ~98% (P95)
Mostly cloudy skies are possible on ~2 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Convective risk Measures: Convective storm risk proxy. Observed about 6% of days (1.8 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.8 days / month
~6% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.8 days / month
- Probability ~6% of days
- Intensity Up to ~22°C (P95)
Convective risk signal appears on ~2 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Hot nights Measures: Hot nights (min >=25C). Observed about 5% of days (1.5 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.5 days / month
~5% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.5 days / month
- Probability ~5% of days
- Intensity Up to ~26°C (P95)
Hot nights are possible on ~1 days. Midday activity often needs adjustment around shade, hydration, and indoor fallback options.
Overcast days Measures: Overcast days (cloud cover >=95%). Observed about 1% of days (0.4 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
0.4 days / month
~1% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 0.4 days / month
- Probability ~1% of days
- Intensity Up to ~99% (P95)
Overcast skies are possible on ~0 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Breezy days Measures: Breezy days (mean wind >=25 km/h). Observed about 1% of days (0.4 days/month) in February. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
0.4 days / month
~1% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 0.4 days / month
- Probability ~1% of days
- Intensity Up to ~29km/h (P95)
Breezy conditions are possible on ~0 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Frequently asked questions
Is February a good time to visit Cancún?
Typical February days in Cancún reach highs of 26°C (79°F) with nights around 23°C (73°F). It usually feels warm by day and warm after dark. It is one of the drier months, which suits outdoor exploring and sightseeing.
What are temperatures like in February?
Daytime temperatures in February typically peak near 26°C (79°F), while nights drop to around 23°C (73°F). Expect warm afternoons and warm evenings.
How much does it rain in February?
Rainfall in February averages 41 mm (1.6 in) across roughly 12 days. Overall it is a quite rainy time of year, so a light rain jacket and waterproof shoes are very handy.
How many hours of daylight are there in February?
You can expect about 11 hours of daylight in February. Sunrise is typically around 07:17 and sunset near 18:44. Daylight is fairly typical, with enough time for sightseeing.
How strong is the sun in February?
UV levels are often high (around 8). Regular sunscreen and a hat are recommended.
Is it windy in February?
In February, average wind speeds are around 15 km/h (9 mph), with gusts on the windiest days reaching about 52 km/h (32 mph). On the ground, it is it can feel quite windy at times, particularly when weather systems move through.