Sits around the middle of the year.
October in context
How it compares to the rest of the year in Cancún.
Among the wetter months.
Around the yearly average.
Close to the yearly wind average.
Near the middle of the yearly UV range.
Humidity stays close to the yearly norm.
Monthly climate breakdown
A detailed look at the typical climate conditions for October.
Thermal profile
Temperature
Typical daytime high
- Nighttime low
-
- Feels like (avg)
-
Light window
Sunshine
11.7 h
Average daylight
- UV index (max)
- 8
- Typical sun hours
- 06:43 - 18:22
Wet-day pattern
Rain & Snow
Typical rainfall
- Rainy days
- 23 days
- Cloud cover (avg)
- 57%
Air feel
Humidity & Wind
80%
Average humidity
- Wind (avg)
-
- Wind (max gusts)
-
Historical daily baseline
Daily climate explorer
Pick a day to inspect the usual conditions through October in Cancún. Based on a 30-year historical climate baseline, not a forecast.
Primary control
Select a day
Scroll to compare daily conditions. The summary updates with your selection.
Secondary context
Monthly trend
Median daytime highs across the month, with a softer low line.
Day 15 selected for October. Temperature 28.3°C.
Historical disruption baseline
Typical disruptions in October
Based on 30 years of historical data, these are the disruption patterns most likely to affect plans in October.
Muggy days Measures: Muggy days (dew point >=20C). Observed about 89% of days (27.5 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
27.5 days / month
- Share of days
- ~89% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~25°C (P95)
Why this matters
Muggy conditions are possible on ~27 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Hot feels-like days Measures: Hot feels-like days (>=32C). Observed about 64% of days (20.0 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
20.0 days / month
- Share of days
- ~64% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~37°C (P95)
Why this matters
Feels-like heat >=32C is possible on ~20 days. Midday activity often needs adjustment around shade, hydration, and indoor fallback options.
Rain disruption Measures: Likely rain disruption days. Observed about 33% of days (10.4 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
10.4 days / month
- Share of days
- ~33% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~40mm (P95)
Why this matters
Rain disruption risk appears on ~10 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Washout risk Measures: Washout day risk. Observed about 33% of days (10.3 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
10.3 days / month
- Share of days
- ~33% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~40mm (P95)
Why this matters
Washout conditions are possible on ~10 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Oppressive humidity Measures: Oppressive humidity days (dew point >=24C). Observed about 29% of days (8.9 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
8.9 days / month
- Share of days
- ~29% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~25°C (P95)
Why this matters
Oppressive humidity is possible on ~9 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Heavy rain days Measures: Heavy rain days (>=10mm). Observed about 19% of days (6.0 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
6.0 days / month
- Share of days
- ~19% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~51mm (P95)
Why this matters
Heavy rain is possible on ~6 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Show all disruptions (28 more)
Very hot feels-like Measures: Very hot feels-like days (>=35C). Observed about 18% of days (5.6 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
5.6 days / month
- Share of days
- ~18% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~38°C (P95)
Why this matters
Very hot feels-like conditions are possible on ~6 days. Midday activity often needs adjustment around shade, hydration, and indoor fallback options.
Heat stress risk Measures: High heat stress days. Observed about 18% of days (5.6 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
5.6 days / month
- Share of days
- ~18% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~38°C (P95)
Why this matters
Heat stress is possible on ~6 days. Midday activity often needs adjustment around shade, hydration, and indoor fallback options.
Washout run Measures: Multi-day washout runs. Observed about 2.5 days/month in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
2.5 days / month
- Share of days
- —
- Upper edge
- Up to ~39mm (P95)
Why this matters
Multi-day washout runs are possible on ~2 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Very heavy rain Measures: Very heavy rain days (>=25mm). Observed about 3% of days (1.1 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
1.1 days / month
- Share of days
- ~3% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~94mm (P95)
Why this matters
Very heavy rain is possible on ~1 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Stormy conditions Measures: Storm-impact proxy days. Observed about 3% of days (0.8 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
0.8 days / month
- Share of days
- ~3% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~131km/h (P95)
Why this matters
Stormy conditions are possible on ~1 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Strong gusts Measures: Strong gust days (>=60 km/h). Observed about 2% of days (0.5 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
0.5 days / month
- Share of days
- ~2% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~137km/h (P95)
Why this matters
Strong gusts are possible on ~1 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Extreme rain Measures: Extreme rain days (>=50mm). Observed about 1% of days (0.3 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
0.3 days / month
- Share of days
- ~1% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~150mm (P95)
Why this matters
Extreme rain is possible on ~0 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Severe gusts Measures: Severe gust days (>=80 km/h). Observed about 1% of days (0.3 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
0.3 days / month
- Share of days
- ~1% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~146km/h (P95)
Why this matters
Severe gusts are possible on ~0 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Wind disruption Measures: Disruptive wind days. Observed about 1% of days (0.2 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
0.2 days / month
- Share of days
- ~1% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~151km/h (P95)
Why this matters
Disruptive wind is possible on ~0 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Hot days Measures: Hot days (>=30C). Observed about 11% of days (3.5 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
3.5 days / month
- Share of days
- ~11% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~33°C (P95)
Why this matters
Hot days are possible on ~3 days. Midday activity often needs adjustment around shade, hydration, and indoor fallback options.
Feels-like heatwave Measures: Feels-like heatwave runs (>=3 days). Observed about 1.9 days/month in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
1.9 days / month
- Share of days
- —
- Upper edge
- Up to ~36°C (P95)
Why this matters
Feels-like heatwave runs are possible on ~2 days. Midday activity often needs adjustment around shade, hydration, and indoor fallback options.
Fog-likely signal Measures: Fog-likely visibility proxy. Observed about 4% of days (1.1 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
1.1 days / month
- Share of days
- ~4% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~96% (P95)
Why this matters
Fog-likely conditions are possible on ~1 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Warm nights Measures: Warm nights (min >=22C). Observed about 98% of days (30.3 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
30.3 days / month
- Share of days
- ~98% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~27°C (P95)
Why this matters
Warm nights are possible on ~30 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Humid days Measures: Humid days (dew point >=18C). Observed about 95% of days (29.3 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
29.3 days / month
- Share of days
- ~95% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~25°C (P95)
Why this matters
Humid conditions are possible on ~29 days. Comfort and pace can drop quickly, so plan shorter outdoor blocks with air-conditioned backup stops.
Wet days Measures: Wet days (>=0.1mm). Observed about 83% of days (25.7 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
25.7 days / month
- Share of days
- ~83% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~22mm (P95)
Why this matters
Measurable rain is possible on ~26 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Rainy hours Measures: Rain-hours signal (>=3h rain). Observed about 73% of days (22.6 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
22.6 days / month
- Share of days
- ~73% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~22h (P95)
Why this matters
Several rainy hours are possible on ~23 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
High humidity Measures: High humidity days (RH >=80%). Observed about 61% of days (19.0 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
19.0 days / month
- Share of days
- ~61% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~92% (P95)
Why this matters
High humidity is possible on ~19 days. Comfort and pace can drop quickly, so plan shorter outdoor blocks with air-conditioned backup stops.
Wet most of day Measures: Wet-most-of-day signal (>=6h rain). Observed about 58% of days (17.9 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
17.9 days / month
- Share of days
- ~58% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~23h (P95)
Why this matters
Wet-most-of-day conditions are possible on ~18 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Hot nights Measures: Hot nights (min >=25C). Observed about 51% of days (15.9 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
15.9 days / month
- Share of days
- ~51% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~27°C (P95)
Why this matters
Hot nights are possible on ~16 days. Midday activity often needs adjustment around shade, hydration, and indoor fallback options.
Cloudy days Measures: Cloudy days (cloud cover >=60%). Observed about 47% of days (14.6 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
14.6 days / month
- Share of days
- ~47% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~100% (P95)
Why this matters
Cloudy skies are possible on ~15 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Convective risk Measures: Convective storm risk proxy. Observed about 33% of days (10.4 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
10.4 days / month
- Share of days
- ~33% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~25°C (P95)
Why this matters
Convective risk signal appears on ~10 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Mostly cloudy days Measures: Mostly cloudy days (cloud cover >=80%). Observed about 30% of days (9.2 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
9.2 days / month
- Share of days
- ~30% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~100% (P95)
Why this matters
Mostly cloudy skies are possible on ~9 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Gusty days Measures: Gusty days (>=40 km/h). Observed about 23% of days (7.1 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
7.1 days / month
- Share of days
- ~23% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~67km/h (P95)
Why this matters
Gusty conditions are possible on ~7 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Overcast days Measures: Overcast days (cloud cover >=95%). Observed about 13% of days (3.9 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
3.9 days / month
- Share of days
- ~13% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~100% (P95)
Why this matters
Overcast skies are possible on ~4 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Low visibility proxy: same as fog-likely (RH ≥90% AND cloud ≥95%) — true visibility requires hourly visibility data Measures: Low visibility proxy: same as fog-likely (RH ≥90% AND cloud ≥95%) — true visibility requires hourly visibility data. Observed about 4% of days (1.1 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
1.1 days / month
- Share of days
- ~4% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~96 (P95)
Why this matters
Low visibility proxy: same as fog-likely (RH ≥90% AND cloud ≥95%) — true visibility requires hourly visibility data is possible on ~1 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Breezy days Measures: Breezy days (mean wind >=25 km/h). Observed about 2% of days (0.6 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
0.6 days / month
- Share of days
- ~2% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~49km/h (P95)
Why this matters
Breezy conditions are possible on ~1 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Heatwave run Measures: Heatwave runs (>=3 hot days). Observed about 0.4 days/month in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
0.4 days / month
- Share of days
- —
- Upper edge
- Up to ~31°C (P95)
Why this matters
Heatwave runs are possible on ~0 days. Midday activity often needs adjustment around shade, hydration, and indoor fallback options.
Windy days Measures: Windy days (mean wind >=35 km/h). Observed about 1% of days (0.2 days/month) in October. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
Likely frequency
0.2 days / month
- Share of days
- ~1% of days
- Upper edge
- Up to ~62km/h (P95)
Why this matters
Strong mean winds are possible on ~0 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Travel planning FAQ
Frequently asked questions
Quick answers to the weather questions you ask the most.
Is October a good time to visit Cancún?
Typical October days in Cancún reach highs of 28°C (82°F) with nights around 25°C (77°F). It usually feels hot by day and warm after dark. It is among the wetter months, so it is wise to have some indoor backup plans or flexible activities.
What are temperatures like in October?
In October, you can usually expect highs of 28°C (82°F) and lows near 25°C (77°F). That means hot days and warm nights, so pack layers you can add or remove.
How much does it rain in October?
Rainfall in October averages 183 mm (7.2 in) across roughly 23 days. Overall it is a very wet time of year, so a light rain jacket and waterproof shoes are very handy.
How many hours of daylight are there in October?
You can expect about 12 hours of daylight in October. Sunrise is typically around 06:43 and sunset near 18:22. Daylight is fairly typical, with enough time for sightseeing.
How strong is the sun in October?
UV levels frequently reach very high levels (around 8), so strong sun protection is essential, especially around midday.
Is it windy in October?
In October, average wind speeds are around 13 km/h (8 mph), with gusts on the windiest days reaching about 45 km/h (28 mph). On the ground, it is it often feels breezy, especially in more exposed spots or along the coast.