Avg High
Cancún in January
Avg Low
Rain
Daylight
11h
What to expect
Cancún is in mid-winter during January, with the season well established by this point. It leans warmly comfortable through the day, with a fairly even feel across the day. Conditions tend to feel steady, which makes planning simple. You get a comfortable daylight window for day trips and sightseeing.
January in context
How it compares to the rest of the year in Cancún.
Hottest (avg)
#12 / 12
Wettest (avg)
#9 / 12
Daylight Hours
#11 / 12
Windiest (avg)
#4 / 12
Highest UV
#11 / 12
Most Humid
#10 / 12
Monthly climate breakdown
Temperature
- Daytime high
-
- Nighttime low
-
- Feels like (avg)
-
Sunshine
- Daylight hours
- 11 h
- UV index (max)
- 7
- Typical sun hours
- 07:26 - 18:26
Rain & Snow
- Total rain
-
- Rainy days
- 15 days
- Cloud cover (avg)
- 48%
Humidity & Wind
- Humidity (avg)
- 73%
- Wind (avg)
-
- Wind (max gusts)
-
Daily climate explorer
Day 15 selected for January. Typical high 24.8°C and low 21.7°C.
Typical disruptions in January
Based on 30 years of historical data, these are the disruption patterns most likely to affect plans in January.
Humidity High impact
Muggy days Measures: Muggy days (dew point >=20C). Observed about 42% of days (13.0 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
13.0 days / month
~42% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 13.0 days / month
- Probability ~42% of days
- Intensity Up to ~23°C (P95)
Muggy conditions are possible on ~13 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Rain High impact
Rain disruption Measures: Likely rain disruption days. Observed about 10% of days (3.1 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
3.1 days / month
~10% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 3.1 days / month
- Probability ~10% of days
- Intensity Up to ~31mm (P95)
Rain disruption risk appears on ~3 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Rain High impact
Washout risk Measures: Washout day risk. Observed about 10% of days (3.0 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
3.0 days / month
~10% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 3.0 days / month
- Probability ~10% of days
- Intensity Up to ~33mm (P95)
Washout conditions are possible on ~3 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Heat Moderate
Hot feels-like days Measures: Hot feels-like days (>=32C). Observed about 2% of days (0.7 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
0.7 days / month
~2% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 0.7 days / month
- Probability ~2% of days
- Intensity Up to ~34°C (P95)
Feels-like heat >=32C is possible on ~1 days. Midday activity often needs adjustment around shade, hydration, and indoor fallback options.
Show all disruptions (18 more)
Rain High impact
Heavy rain days Measures: Heavy rain days (>=10mm). Observed about 5% of days (1.5 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.5 days / month
~5% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.5 days / month
- Probability ~5% of days
- Intensity Up to ~39mm (P95)
Heavy rain is possible on ~1 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Rain High impact
Washout run Measures: Multi-day washout runs. Observed about 0.6 days/month in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
0.6 days / month
Probability unavailable
Why this matters
- Expected days 0.6 days / month
- Probability —
- Intensity Up to ~74mm (P95)
Multi-day washout runs are possible on ~1 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Wind High impact
Strong gusts Measures: Strong gust days (>=60 km/h). Observed about 1% of days (0.4 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
0.4 days / month
~1% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 0.4 days / month
- Probability ~1% of days
- Intensity Up to ~67km/h (P95)
Strong gusts are possible on ~0 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Rain High impact
Very heavy rain Measures: Very heavy rain days (>=25mm). Observed about 1% of days (0.3 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
0.3 days / month
~1% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 0.3 days / month
- Probability ~1% of days
- Intensity Up to ~75mm (P95)
Very heavy rain is possible on ~0 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Wind High impact
Stormy conditions Measures: Storm-impact proxy days. Observed about 1% of days (0.2 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
0.2 days / month
~1% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 0.2 days / month
- Probability ~1% of days
- Intensity Up to ~64km/h (P95)
Stormy conditions are possible on ~0 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Humidity Minor
Humid days Measures: Humid days (dew point >=18C). Observed about 62% of days (19.2 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
19.2 days / month
~62% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 19.2 days / month
- Probability ~62% of days
- Intensity Up to ~23°C (P95)
Humid conditions are possible on ~19 days. Comfort and pace can drop quickly, so plan shorter outdoor blocks with air-conditioned backup stops.
Rain Minor
Wet days Measures: Wet days (>=0.1mm). Observed about 60% of days (18.6 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
18.6 days / month
~60% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 18.6 days / month
- Probability ~60% of days
- Intensity Up to ~13mm (P95)
Measurable rain is possible on ~19 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Heat Minor
Warm nights Measures: Warm nights (min >=22C). Observed about 55% of days (17.0 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
17.0 days / month
~55% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 17.0 days / month
- Probability ~55% of days
- Intensity Up to ~25°C (P95)
Warm nights are possible on ~17 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Rain Minor
Rainy hours Measures: Rain-hours signal (>=3h rain). Observed about 45% of days (14.0 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
14.0 days / month
~45% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 14.0 days / month
- Probability ~45% of days
- Intensity Up to ~21h (P95)
Several rainy hours are possible on ~14 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Wind Minor
Gusty days Measures: Gusty days (>=40 km/h). Observed about 42% of days (12.9 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
12.9 days / month
~42% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 12.9 days / month
- Probability ~42% of days
- Intensity Up to ~57km/h (P95)
Gusty conditions are possible on ~13 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Cloud Minor
Cloudy days Measures: Cloudy days (cloud cover >=60%). Observed about 31% of days (9.6 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
9.6 days / month
~31% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 9.6 days / month
- Probability ~31% of days
- Intensity Up to ~98% (P95)
Cloudy skies are possible on ~10 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Rain Minor
Wet most of day Measures: Wet-most-of-day signal (>=6h rain). Observed about 30% of days (9.3 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
9.3 days / month
~30% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 9.3 days / month
- Probability ~30% of days
- Intensity Up to ~22h (P95)
Wet-most-of-day conditions are possible on ~9 days. Outdoor plans can become unreliable, so keep an indoor backup and flexibility around start times.
Humidity Minor
High humidity Measures: High humidity days (RH >=80%). Observed about 28% of days (8.8 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
8.8 days / month
~28% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 8.8 days / month
- Probability ~28% of days
- Intensity Up to ~90% (P95)
High humidity is possible on ~9 days. Comfort and pace can drop quickly, so plan shorter outdoor blocks with air-conditioned backup stops.
Cloud Minor
Mostly cloudy days Measures: Mostly cloudy days (cloud cover >=80%). Observed about 15% of days (4.7 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
4.7 days / month
~15% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 4.7 days / month
- Probability ~15% of days
- Intensity Up to ~99% (P95)
Mostly cloudy skies are possible on ~5 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Humidity Minor
Convective risk Measures: Convective storm risk proxy. Observed about 9% of days (2.9 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
2.9 days / month
~9% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 2.9 days / month
- Probability ~9% of days
- Intensity Up to ~23°C (P95)
Convective risk signal appears on ~3 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Heat Minor
Hot nights Measures: Hot nights (min >=25C). Observed about 4% of days (1.3 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.3 days / month
~4% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.3 days / month
- Probability ~4% of days
- Intensity Up to ~26°C (P95)
Hot nights are possible on ~1 days. Midday activity often needs adjustment around shade, hydration, and indoor fallback options.
Cloud Minor
Overcast days Measures: Overcast days (cloud cover >=95%). Observed about 4% of days (1.1 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
1.1 days / month
~4% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 1.1 days / month
- Probability ~4% of days
- Intensity Up to ~100% (P95)
Overcast skies are possible on ~1 days. Fixed-time outdoor plans are safer with a backup option and flexible timing.
Wind Minor
Breezy days Measures: Breezy days (mean wind >=25 km/h). Observed about 2% of days (0.6 days/month) in January. Historical risk signal only, not a day-by-day forecast.
0.6 days / month
~2% of days
Why this matters
- Expected days 0.6 days / month
- Probability ~2% of days
- Intensity Up to ~28km/h (P95)
Breezy conditions are possible on ~1 days. Exposed activities and transport links are more likely to be disrupted, so keep sheltered alternatives ready.
Frequently asked questions
Is January a good time to visit Cancún?
Typical January days in Cancún reach highs of 25°C (77°F) with nights around 22°C (72°F). It usually feels warm by day and warm after dark. Overall, January sits in the middle of the Cancún climate range.
What are temperatures like in January?
In January, you can usually expect highs of 25°C (77°F) and lows near 22°C (72°F). That means warm days and warm nights, so pack layers you can add or remove.
How much does it rain in January?
Rainfall in January averages 61 mm (2.4 in) across roughly 15 days. Overall it is a very wet time of year, so a light rain jacket and waterproof shoes are very handy.
How many hours of daylight are there in January?
You can expect about 11 hours of daylight in January. Sunrise is typically around 07:26 and sunset near 18:26. Daylight is fairly typical, with enough time for sightseeing.
How strong is the sun in January?
UV levels are often high (around 7). Regular sunscreen and a hat are recommended.
Is it windy in January?
In January, average wind speeds are around 15 km/h (9 mph), with gusts on the windiest days reaching about 50 km/h (31 mph). On the ground, it is it can feel quite windy at times, particularly when weather systems move through.